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神魔xSAO 九張小獎 加倍下全齊機率模擬

Steven Lu | 2023-08-02 21:52:29 | 巴幣 2002 | 人氣 284

非加倍時期我不知道
但以往加倍時間大獎機率都22.5%,小獎則是剩下平分
所以我跑了一百億次(1E10)試試看
抽齊所花
抽卡次數
發生次數 機率 累積機率(<=)
9 945392 0.009454% 0.009454%
10 4842177 0.048422% 0.057876%
11 14006208 0.140062% 0.197938%
12 30108001 0.301080% 0.499018%
13 53712345 0.537123% 1.036141%
14 84151526 0.841515% 1.877656%
15 119836933 1.198369% 3.076026%
16 158619627 1.586196% 4.662222%
17 198241651 1.982417% 6.644639%
18 236594816 2.365948% 9.010587%
19 271977238 2.719772% 11.730359%
20 303073824 3.030738% 14.761097%
21 329042950 3.290430% 18.051527%
22 349539106 3.495391% 21.546918%
23 364481053 3.644811% 25.191728%
24 374012431 3.740124% 28.931853%
25 378618594 3.786186% 32.718039%
26 378716569 3.787166% 36.505204%
27 374913271 3.749133% 40.254337%
28 367880630 3.678806% 43.933143%
29 358178268 3.581783% 47.514926%
30 346301805 3.463018% 50.977944%
31 332775150 3.327752% 54.305696%
32 318060484 3.180605% 57.486300%
33 302630892 3.026309% 60.512609%
34 286684773 2.866848% 63.379457%
35 270589363 2.705894% 66.085351%
36 254548989 2.545490% 68.630841%
37 238767206 2.387672% 71.018513%
38 223340569 2.233406% 73.251918%
39 208446887 2.084469% 75.336387%
40 194132408 1.941324% 77.277711%
41 180432260 1.804323% 79.082034%
42 167434732 1.674347% 80.756381%
43 155150411 1.551504% 82.307885%
44 143580423 1.435804% 83.743690%
45 132692240 1.326922% 85.070612%
46 122512603 1.225126% 86.295738%
47 112952594 1.129526% 87.425264%
48 104090987 1.040910% 88.466174%
49 95838790 0.958388% 89.424562%
50 88170196 0.881702% 90.306264%
51 81085285 0.810853% 91.117117%
52 74510313 0.745103% 91.862220%
53 68425200 0.684252% 92.546472%
54 62827277 0.628273% 93.174744%
55 57634700 0.576347% 93.751091%
56 52886089 0.528861% 94.279952%
57 48480891 0.484809% 94.764761%
58 44444020 0.444440% 95.209201%
59 40717669 0.407177% 95.616378%
60 37305724 0.373057% 95.989435%
61 34154526 0.341545% 96.330981%
62 31306266 0.313063% 96.644043%
63 28643911 0.286439% 96.930482%
64 26223018 0.262230% 97.192713%
65 24005415 0.240054% 97.432767%
66 21962269 0.219623% 97.652389%
67 20101128 0.201011% 97.853401%
68 18382362 0.183824% 98.037224%
69 16822645 0.168226% 98.205451%
70 15391862 0.153919% 98.359369%
71 14070596 0.140706% 98.500075%
72 12871799 0.128718% 98.628793%
73 11764917 0.117649% 98.746443%
74 10764119 0.107641% 98.854084%
75 9838821 0.098388% 98.952472%
76 8995638 0.089956% 99.042428%
77 8228624 0.082286% 99.124715%
78 7522253 0.075223% 99.199937%
79 6877223 0.068772% 99.268709%
80 6286602 0.062866% 99.331575%
81 5747093 0.057471% 99.389046%
82 5254694 0.052547% 99.441593%
83 4805517 0.048055% 99.489648%
84 4389691 0.043897% 99.533545%
85 4012239 0.040122% 99.573668%
86 3667125 0.036671% 99.610339%
87 3348752 0.033488% 99.643826%
88 3068089 0.030681% 99.674507%
89 2801932 0.028019% 99.702527%
90 2558680 0.025587% 99.728113%
91 2339781 0.023398% 99.751511%
92 2141758 0.021418% 99.772929%
93 1954498 0.019545% 99.792474%
94 1787486 0.017875% 99.810349%
95 1632376 0.016324% 99.826672%
96 1493469 0.014935% 99.841607%
97 1363903 0.013639% 99.855246%
98 1247437 0.012474% 99.867721%
99 1138197 0.011382% 99.879103%
100 1041105 0.010411% 99.889514%
101 951425 0.009514% 99.899028%
102 867653 0.008677% 99.907704%
103 795225 0.007952% 99.915657%
104 725568 0.007256% 99.922912%
105 663488 0.006635% 99.929547%
106 607674 0.006077% 99.935624%
107 554665 0.005547% 99.941171%
108 507312 0.005073% 99.946244%
109 462950 0.004630% 99.950873%
110 421821 0.004218% 99.955091%
111 386836 0.003868% 99.958960%
112 351822 0.003518% 99.962478%
113 322476 0.003225% 99.965703%
114 294665 0.002947% 99.968649%
115 269765 0.002698% 99.971347%
116 247316 0.002473% 99.973820%
117 226100 0.002261% 99.976081%
118 205646 0.002056% 99.978138%
119 188931 0.001889% 99.980027%
120 171996 0.001720% 99.981747%
121 157679 0.001577% 99.983324%
122 143547 0.001435% 99.984759%
123 130716 0.001307% 99.986066%
124 120139 0.001201% 99.987268%
125 109895 0.001099% 99.988367%
126 99737 0.000997% 99.989364%
127 91506 0.000915% 99.990279%
128 83484 0.000835% 99.991114%
129 76494 0.000765% 99.991879%
130 70147 0.000701% 99.992580%
131 64431 0.000644% 99.993225%
132 58072 0.000581% 99.993805%
133 53315 0.000533% 99.994339%
134 48733 0.000487% 99.994826%
135 44773 0.000448% 99.995274%
136 40912 0.000409% 99.995683%
137 37005 0.000370% 99.996053%
138 34306 0.000343% 99.996396%
139 31055 0.000311% 99.996706%
140 28403 0.000284% 99.996990%
141 25935 0.000259% 99.997250%
142 23735 0.000237% 99.997487%
143 21457 0.000215% 99.997702%
144 19625 0.000196% 99.997898%
145 17906 0.000179% 99.998077%
146 16284 0.000163% 99.998240%
147 15347 0.000153% 99.998393%
148 13934 0.000139% 99.998533%
149 12846 0.000128% 99.998661%
150 11477 0.000115% 99.998776%
151 10639 0.000106% 99.998882%
152 9476 0.000095% 99.998977%
153 8781 0.000088% 99.999065%
154 8027 0.000080% 99.999145%
155 7403 0.000074% 99.999219%
156 6776 0.000068% 99.999287%
157 6208 0.000062% 99.999349%
158 5645 0.000056% 99.999405%
159 5044 0.000050% 99.999456%
160 4717 0.000047% 99.999503%
161 4295 0.000043% 99.999546%
162 3878 0.000039% 99.999585%
163 3519 0.000035% 99.999620%
164 3288 0.000033% 99.999653%
165 3020 0.000030% 99.999683%
166 2683 0.000027% 99.999710%
167 2503 0.000025% 99.999735%
168 2280 0.000023% 99.999758%
169 2123 0.000021% 99.999779%
170 1944 0.000019% 99.999798%
171 1769 0.000018% 99.999816%
172 1607 0.000016% 99.999832%
173 1371 0.000014% 99.999846%
174 1318 0.000013% 99.999859%
175 1223 0.000012% 99.999871%
176 1083 0.000011% 99.999882%
177 1001 0.000010% 99.999892%
178 940 0.000009% 99.999901%
179 825 0.000008% 99.999910%
180 791 0.000008% 99.999918%
181 708 0.000007% 99.999925%
182 630 0.000006% 99.999931%
183 615 0.000006% 99.999937%
184 550 0.000006% 99.999943%
185 500 0.000005% 99.999948%
186 474 0.000005% 99.999952%
187 432 0.000004% 99.999957%
188 376 0.000004% 99.999960%
189 309 0.000003% 99.999964%
190 343 0.000003% 99.999967%
191 292 0.000003% 99.999970%
192 251 0.000003% 99.999972%
193 233 0.000002% 99.999975%
194 201 0.000002% 99.999977%
195 200 0.000002% 99.999979%
196 170 0.000002% 99.999980%
197 148 0.000001% 99.999982%
198 162 0.000002% 99.999984%
199 140 0.000001% 99.999985%
200 140 0.000001% 99.999986%
201 91 0.000001% 99.999987%
202 102 0.000001% 99.999988%
203 110 0.000001% 99.999989%
204 92 0.000001% 99.999990%
205 86 0.000001% 99.999991%
206 71 0.000001% 99.999992%
207 64 0.000001% 99.999993%
208 59 0.000001% 99.999993%
209 61 0.000001% 99.999994%
210 56 0.000001% 99.999994%
211 40 0.000000% 99.999995%
212 44 0.000000% 99.999995%
213 44 0.000000% 99.999996%
214 32 0.000000% 99.999996%
215 43 0.000000% 99.999996%
216 36 0.000000% 99.999997%
217 34 0.000000% 99.999997%
218 33 0.000000% 99.999997%
219 30 0.000000% 99.999998%
220 29 0.000000% 99.999998%
221 18 0.000000% 99.999998%
222 14 0.000000% 99.999998%
223 15 0.000000% 99.999998%
224 10 0.000000% 99.999999%
225 10 0.000000% 99.999999%
226 6 0.000000% 99.999999%
227 17 0.000000% 99.999999%
228 10 0.000000% 99.999999%
229 5 0.000000% 99.999999%
230 10 0.000000% 99.999999%
231 9 0.000000% 99.999999%
232 6 0.000000% 99.999999%
233 9 0.000000% 99.999999%
234 3 0.000000% 99.999999%
235 7 0.000000% 99.999999%
236 2 0.000000% 99.999999%
237 1 0.000000% 99.999999%
238 4 0.000000% 99.999999%
239 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
240 8 0.000000% 100.000000%
241 6 0.000000% 100.000000%
243 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
244 4 0.000000% 100.000000%
245 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
247 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
249 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
250 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
251 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
252 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
253 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
255 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
258 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
259 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
261 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
262 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
263 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
267 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
272 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
273 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
278 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
298 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
322 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
因為35抽保底:
一輪34抽抽齊小獎:63.379457%
兩輪68抽抽齊:98.037224%

接下來是半全齊獎的要求
2大獎+6小獎(有指定)
所以一樣跑一次
抽齊所花
抽卡次數
發生次數 機率 累計機率
6 2939452 0.029395% 0.029395%
7 12333551 0.123336% 0.152730%
8 30340916 0.303409% 0.456139%
9 57209770 0.572098% 1.028237%
10 91614657 0.916147% 1.944383%
11 131102351 1.311024% 3.255407%
12 173040736 1.730407% 4.985814%
13 214822009 2.148220% 7.134034%
14 254215002 2.542150% 9.676184%
15 289508817 2.895088% 12.571273%
16 319608176 3.196082% 15.767354%
17 343936987 3.439370% 19.206724%
18 362274574 3.622746% 22.829470%
19 374809610 3.748096% 26.577566%
20 381902428 3.819024% 30.396590%
21 384059022 3.840590% 34.237181%
22 381961501 3.819615% 38.056796%
23 376112790 3.761128% 41.817923%
24 367285593 3.672856% 45.490779%
25 356014221 3.560142% 49.050922%
26 342849350 3.428494% 52.479415%
27 328321243 3.283212% 55.762628%
28 312845018 3.128450% 58.891078%
29 296777987 2.967780% 61.858858%
30 280438207 2.804382% 64.663240%
31 264057152 2.640572% 67.303811%
32 247903652 2.479037% 69.782848%
33 232082540 2.320825% 72.103673%
34 216762938 2.167629% 74.271303%
35 201964059 2.019641% 76.290943%
36 187850389 1.878504% 78.169447%
37 174392263 1.743923% 79.913370%
38 161653552 1.616536% 81.529905%
39 149669913 1.496699% 83.026604%
40 138344105 1.383441% 84.410045%
41 127755109 1.277551% 85.687596%
42 117846614 1.178466% 86.866063%
43 108600721 1.086007% 87.952070%
44 100029635 1.000296% 88.952366%
45 92052940 0.920529% 89.872896%
46 84637526 0.846375% 90.719271%
47 77796950 0.777970% 91.497240%
48 71459083 0.714591% 92.211831%
49 65614908 0.656149% 92.867980%
50 60204281 0.602043% 93.470023%
51 55234683 0.552347% 94.022370%
52 50648537 0.506485% 94.528855%
53 46414911 0.464149% 94.993004%
54 42537093 0.425371% 95.418375%
55 38987562 0.389876% 95.808251%
56 35710132 0.357101% 96.165352%
57 32700979 0.327010% 96.492362%
58 29940320 0.299403% 96.791765%
59 27407921 0.274079% 97.065844%
60 25082192 0.250822% 97.316666%
61 22952447 0.229524% 97.546191%
62 21001418 0.210014% 97.756205%
63 19214112 0.192141% 97.948346%
64 17579953 0.175800% 98.124146%
65 16070260 0.160703% 98.284848%
66 14707704 0.147077% 98.431925%
67 13463023 0.134630% 98.566555%
68 12303349 0.123033% 98.689589%
69 11252688 0.112527% 98.802116%
70 10291573 0.102916% 98.905032%
71 9407453 0.094075% 98.999106%
72 8594281 0.085943% 99.085049%
73 7865862 0.078659% 99.163708%
74 7187262 0.071873% 99.235580%
75 6572461 0.065725% 99.301305%
76 6003817 0.060038% 99.361343%
77 5493450 0.054935% 99.416277%
78 5019565 0.050196% 99.466473%
79 4592956 0.045930% 99.512403%
80 4189741 0.041897% 99.554300%
81 3833480 0.038335% 99.592635%
82 3504383 0.035044% 99.627679%
83 3205516 0.032055% 99.659734%
84 2928866 0.029289% 99.689022%
85 2674931 0.026749% 99.715772%
86 2451041 0.024510% 99.740282%
87 2237349 0.022373% 99.762656%
88 2039875 0.020399% 99.783054%
89 1867012 0.018670% 99.801725%
90 1709182 0.017092% 99.818816%
91 1562123 0.015621% 99.834438%
92 1423565 0.014236% 99.848673%
93 1300978 0.013010% 99.861683%
94 1191221 0.011912% 99.873595%
95 1088631 0.010886% 99.884482%
96 993888 0.009939% 99.894420%
97 908216 0.009082% 99.903503%
98 830666 0.008307% 99.911809%
99 760577 0.007606% 99.919415%
100 692453 0.006925% 99.926340%
101 634886 0.006349% 99.932688%
102 579626 0.005796% 99.938485%
103 531071 0.005311% 99.943795%
104 483431 0.004834% 99.948630%
105 443630 0.004436% 99.953066%
106 403942 0.004039% 99.957105%
107 369000 0.003690% 99.960795%
108 336863 0.003369% 99.964164%
109 309967 0.003100% 99.967264%
110 281422 0.002814% 99.970078%
111 257974 0.002580% 99.972658%
112 235351 0.002354% 99.975011%
113 214759 0.002148% 99.977159%
114 197308 0.001973% 99.979132%
115 178871 0.001789% 99.980921%
116 164192 0.001642% 99.982562%
117 150465 0.001505% 99.984067%
118 136856 0.001369% 99.985436%
119 125789 0.001258% 99.986694%
120 114296 0.001143% 99.987837%
121 105179 0.001052% 99.988888%
122 95522 0.000955% 99.989844%
123 87177 0.000872% 99.990715%
124 79888 0.000799% 99.991514%
125 73228 0.000732% 99.992246%
126 66703 0.000667% 99.992914%
127 60935 0.000609% 99.993523%
128 55862 0.000559% 99.994081%
129 50809 0.000508% 99.994590%
130 46867 0.000469% 99.995058%
131 43059 0.000431% 99.995489%
132 38867 0.000389% 99.995878%
133 35498 0.000355% 99.996232%
134 32551 0.000326% 99.996558%
135 29352 0.000294% 99.996852%
136 27226 0.000272% 99.997124%
137 24854 0.000249% 99.997372%
138 22749 0.000227% 99.997600%
139 20567 0.000206% 99.997805%
140 18902 0.000189% 99.997994%
141 17223 0.000172% 99.998167%
142 15998 0.000160% 99.998327%
143 14241 0.000142% 99.998469%
144 13121 0.000131% 99.998600%
145 11845 0.000118% 99.998719%
146 10997 0.000110% 99.998829%
147 9909 0.000099% 99.998928%
148 9356 0.000094% 99.999021%
149 8371 0.000084% 99.999105%
150 7674 0.000077% 99.999182%
151 7156 0.000072% 99.999253%
152 6358 0.000064% 99.999317%
153 5785 0.000058% 99.999375%
154 5325 0.000053% 99.999428%
155 4986 0.000050% 99.999478%
156 4545 0.000045% 99.999523%
157 4072 0.000041% 99.999564%
158 3728 0.000037% 99.999601%
159 3418 0.000034% 99.999636%
160 3106 0.000031% 99.999667%
161 2792 0.000028% 99.999695%
162 2512 0.000025% 99.999720%
163 2400 0.000024% 99.999744%
164 2122 0.000021% 99.999765%
165 2003 0.000020% 99.999785%
166 1801 0.000018% 99.999803%
167 1746 0.000017% 99.999820%
168 1521 0.000015% 99.999836%
169 1439 0.000014% 99.999850%
170 1316 0.000013% 99.999863%
171 1198 0.000012% 99.999875%
172 1022 0.000010% 99.999885%
173 982 0.000010% 99.999895%
174 894 0.000009% 99.999904%
175 827 0.000008% 99.999912%
176 761 0.000008% 99.999920%
177 677 0.000007% 99.999927%
178 602 0.000006% 99.999933%
179 560 0.000006% 99.999938%
180 546 0.000005% 99.999944%
181 467 0.000005% 99.999949%
182 430 0.000004% 99.999953%
183 408 0.000004% 99.999957%
184 379 0.000004% 99.999961%
185 322 0.000003% 99.999964%
186 352 0.000004% 99.999967%
187 274 0.000003% 99.999970%
188 282 0.000003% 99.999973%
189 241 0.000002% 99.999975%
190 206 0.000002% 99.999977%
191 202 0.000002% 99.999979%
192 178 0.000002% 99.999981%
193 163 0.000002% 99.999983%
194 155 0.000002% 99.999984%
195 126 0.000001% 99.999986%
196 114 0.000001% 99.999987%
197 121 0.000001% 99.999988%
198 83 0.000001% 99.999989%
199 111 0.000001% 99.999990%
200 94 0.000001% 99.999991%
201 76 0.000001% 99.999992%
202 57 0.000001% 99.999992%
203 64 0.000001% 99.999993%
204 51 0.000001% 99.999993%
205 44 0.000000% 99.999994%
206 49 0.000000% 99.999994%
207 58 0.000001% 99.999995%
208 51 0.000001% 99.999995%
209 33 0.000000% 99.999996%
210 32 0.000000% 99.999996%
211 37 0.000000% 99.999996%
212 23 0.000000% 99.999997%
213 31 0.000000% 99.999997%
214 34 0.000000% 99.999997%
215 28 0.000000% 99.999998%
216 15 0.000000% 99.999998%
217 14 0.000000% 99.999998%
218 23 0.000000% 99.999998%
219 16 0.000000% 99.999998%
220 13 0.000000% 99.999998%
221 12 0.000000% 99.999999%
222 11 0.000000% 99.999999%
223 10 0.000000% 99.999999%
224 12 0.000000% 99.999999%
225 12 0.000000% 99.999999%
226 8 0.000000% 99.999999%
227 7 0.000000% 99.999999%
228 19 0.000000% 99.999999%
229 3 0.000000% 99.999999%
230 11 0.000000% 99.999999%
231 5 0.000000% 100.000000%
232 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
233 4 0.000000% 100.000000%
234 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
235 6 0.000000% 100.000000%
236 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
237 4 0.000000% 100.000000%
238 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
239 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
241 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
242 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
244 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
246 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
247 3 0.000000% 100.000000%
248 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
249 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
250 2 0.000000% 100.000000%
251 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
253 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
254 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
255 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
257 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
267 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
277 1 0.000000% 100.000000%
滿足大獎都有的前提下,35抽保底:
一輪34抽抽齊指定小獎:74.271303%
兩輪68抽抽齊:98.689589%


感謝ChatCPT與cuda toolkit的協助
所以有人要贊助我4090嗎?

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